Fantasy, Reality and the pusuit of success

Week 3 was difficult as I went 8-8 on picks and 1-2 against the spread. Here are 10 tips that can help when things get tricky.

1. Never discount a struggling team that has a solid core of players and sound leadership. Week 3 example: Eagles. Week 4 example: Chargers.
   
2. In the NFL, the home team has a big advantage before the game is even played.
   
3. Las Vegas places a 2-3 point spread advantage for the home team before any analysis.
4. When in doubt, go with the home team.
   
5. For 2007, bet the Patriots every week until further notice.
   
6. Follow the trend. If a team is winning: buy. If a team is losing: sell.
   
7. The team with the better defense has the advantage.
   
8. The team with the better Quarterback has the advantage.
   
9. Never let team loyalty get in the way of predicting a winner.
   
10. Never let fantasy replace reality.